02/02/2016
The Iowa Caucus starts tonight at 7 pm Central Standard Time.
02/02/2016
The Iowa Caucus starts tonight at 7 pm Central Standard Time. Both Democratic and Republican candidates will face-off tonight. Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders and Martin O’Malley are vying for the hearts and minds of the caucus voters. The reality is that this is really a race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. The latest polls are split between the two. The Quinnipiac pole from 01/25 – 01/31 have Bernie Sanders in the lead with 49 percent and Hillary Clinton at 46 percent with a 3 percent margin of error. That is good news for Sanders since he began so far down in the polls. The negative for Sanders is that Hillary is in the Margin of error to either tie him or beat him however slightly. The good news for Clinton is that the Emerson poll has her winning at 51 percent with Sanders having 43 percent of the vote with a margin of error of 5.6 percent. Most of the previous polls have Clinton consistently ahead of Sanders. The positive for Sanders is that he clearly has momentum and can easily squeak a win. Caucus voters can change their votes especially if they originally vote for Clinton because they believed that a vote for Sanders would be a wasted vote. If Sanders does not win he will still have partial win of the delegates. Sanders is vastly ahead in New Hampshire and a win for him would help legitimize his campaign. Sanders would still have a high hill to climb because Hillary is ahead in Nevada and South Carolina. The Caucus can last for hours so the result will likely be known on Tuesday. Who do you think will win? Leave a comment below and let us know.
